The Feldstein-Horioka Paradox – Evidence for Colombia during 1925-2011

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Óscar Penagos Gómez
Héctor Rojas Serrano
Jacobo Campo Robledo

Keywords

Feldstein – Horioka puzzle, cointegration, Error Correction Model, imperfect capital mobility, Colombia

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between national investment and saving in Colombia during the period 1925-2011.  Consistent with Cardenas and Escobar (1998), an Error Correction Model is used to examine short and long run effects.  The results provide evidence that investment and saving are co-integrated during the study period. The results for the co-integration vector, with and without structural breaks, indicate that capital mobility was low, which is consistent with the Feldstein – Horioka [1980] paradox.  The results imply that increases in domestic saving rates reduce the mobility of financial capital in Colombia.

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