Credit Risk, Cost of Capital and Excessive Financial Leverage

Main Article Content

Juan Carlos Gutiérrez Betancur
David Mejía Kambourova
Laura Gómez Cardeño

Keywords

Debt, Cost of debt, Cost of equity, WACC, Tax shield

Abstract

Conventionally, business valuation methods do not usually incorporate explicitly the effects that the probable bankruptcy costs of the firm could have on the cost of capital. Doing this introduces a stress test in the estimation of the discount rate, which can be very relevant for the fair valuation of excessively leveraged companies traded on the stock market. In this sense, the purpose of this article is to demonstrate the resulting financial vulnerability for this type of firms by explicitly adjusting the cost of capital for bankruptcy risk, and highlighting its implications for the stock market and bank debt market, based on a comparative analysis between three alternative methods of calculating the weighted average cost of capital.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.
Abstract 1381 | PDF (Español) Downloads 1027

References

Acharya, V., Almeida, H., & Campello, M. (2007). Is cash negative debt? A hedging perspective on corporate financial policies. J. Finan. Intermediation, 16(4), 515-554.
Arnold, M. (2014). Managerial cash use, default, and corporate financial policies. Journal of Corporate Finance, 27, 305-325.
Baghai, R., Servaes, H., & Tamayo, A. (2014). Have rating agencies become more conservative? Implications for capital structure and debt pricing. The Journal of Finance, 69(5), 1961-2005.
Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2014). Corporate finance (vol. 4). Pearson.
Cooper, I., & Davydenko, S. (2007). Estimating the cost of risky debt. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 19(3), 90-95.
Damodaran, A. (8 de septiembre de 2015). Aswath Damodaran.
Davydenko, S., Strebulaev, I., & Acharya, V. (2012). Cash holdings and credit risk. The Review of Financial Studies, 25(12), 3572-3609.
Davydenko, S., Strebulaev, I., & Zhao, X. (2012). A market-based study of the cost of default. The Review of Financial Studies, 25(10), 2959-2999.
DeAngello, H., & Roll, R. (2015). How stable are corporate capital structures? The Journal of Finance, 70(1), 373-418.
Faff, R., Kwok, W., Podolski, E., & Wong, G. (2016). Do corporate policies follow a life-cycle? Journal of Banking & Finance 69, 95-107.
Gamba, A., & Triantis, A. (2008). The value of financial flexibility. Journal of Finance, 63(5), 2263-2296.
García, J. S., Preve, L., & Sarria, V. A. (2010). Valuation in emerging markets: A simulation approach. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 22(2), 100-108.
Grabowski, R. (2009). Cost of capital estimation in the current distressed environment. The Journal of Applied Research in Accounting and Finance, 4(1), 31-40.
Holthausen, R., & Zmijewski, M. (2012). Pitfalls in levering and unlevering beta and cost of capital estimates in DCF valuations. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 24(3), 60-74.
Holthausen, R., & Mark E. (2014). Corporate valuation: Theory, evidence, and practice. Cambridge Business Publishers.
Koziol, C. (2013). A simple correction of the WACC discount rate for default risk and bankruptcy costs. Quant Finan Acc, 42(4), 653-666.
Maquieira, C., Preve, L., & Sarria-Allende, V. (2012). Theory and practice of corporate finance: Evidence and distinctive features in Latin America. Emerging Markets Review, 13(2), 118-148.
Miles, J., & Ezzell, J. (1980). The Weighted Average Cost of Capital, Perfect Capital Markets, and Project Life: A. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 15(3), 719-730.
Moody's. (2013). Latin American Corporate Default and Recovery Rates, 1990 to July 2013. Moody's Investor Service, 11, 1-28.
Morellec, E. (2004). Can Managerial discretion explain observed leverage ratios? The Review of Financial Studies, 17(1), 257-294.
Novaes, W. (2003). Capital structure choice when managers are in control: Entrenchment versus efficiency. Journal of Business, 76(1), 49-82.
Oded, J., & Michel, A. (2009). Why does DCF undervalue equities? Journal of Applied Finance, 19, 49-62.
Rapp, M., Schmid, T., & Urban, D. (2014). The value of financial flexibility and corporate financial policy. Journal of Corporate Finance, 29(C), 288-302.
Shivdasani, A., & Zenner, M. (2005). How to choose a capital structure: Navigating the debt-equity decision. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 17(1), 26-35.
Vasicek, O. A. (1973). A Note on using cross - sectional information in bayesian estimation of security betas. Journal of Finance, 28, 1233-1239.
Welch, I. (2011). Two common problems in capital structure research: The financial-debt-to-asset ratio and issuing activity versus leverage changes. International Review of Finance, 11(1), 1-17.
Zwiebel, J. (1996). Dynamic capital structure under managerial entrenchment. The American Economic Review, 86(5), 1197-1215.

Most read articles by the same author(s)