Sistema Vial Terciario y Educación Rural en Antioquia (Colombia): un modelo probit ordenado y multivariado
Main Article Content
Keywords
Logro educativo, sistema de vías terciarias, modelos probit y logit ordenados, políticas educativas
Resumen
El presente artículo tiene el propósito de determinar el impacto del sistema vial del departamento de Antioquia, en particular el sistema de vías terciarias, sobre la probabilidad de ascenso en el logro educativo de los estudiantes de zonas rurales de básica secundaria en Antioquia (Colombia). Para tal efecto, se estima un modelo logístico ordenado del rendimiento educativo en la prueba de matemáticas, definiendo como variable dependiente una transformación de las densidades viales terciarias en relación con la oferta de alcantarillado, energía, servicio de teléfono, entre otros, con el fin de capturar la variabilidad, y dispersión, de las zonas rurales en cada municipio. Los resultados muestran que las vías terciarias inciden sobre la probabilidad de ascender en el rendimiento educativo para los estudiantes rurales.
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Referencias
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Villar, L., & Ramírez, J. M. (2014). Infraestructura regional y pobreza rural. Recuperado a partir de http://www.repository.fedesarrollo.org.co/handle/11445/234
Campos, A. (2017). Vías Para La Educación: Efecto De La Infraestructura Vial En Los Resultados Educativos (2005 – 2015) (Roads to Education: Impact of Road Infrastructure on Education (2005 – 2015)) (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 2921472).
Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. Recuperado a partir de https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2921472
Castro-Leal, F., Dayton, J., Demery, L., & Mehra, K. (1999). Public Social Spending in Africa: Do the Poor Benefit? The World Bank Research Observer, 14(1), 49–72. https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/14.1.49
Datt, G., & Ravallion, M. (1998). Farm productivity and rural poverty in India. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(4), 62–85. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220389808422529
de Janvry, A., & Sadoulet, E. (2000). Rural poverty in Latin America: Determinants and exit paths. Food Policy, 25(4), 389–409. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0306-9192(00)00023-3
Duranton, G. (2015). Roads and trade in Colombia. Economics of Transportation, 4(1–2), 16–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecotra.2014.11.003
Falch, T., Lujala, P., & Strøm, B. (2013). Geographical constraints and educational attainment. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 43(1), 164–176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2012.06.007
Gibbons, S., & Vignoles, A. (2012). Geography, choice and participation in higher education in England. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(1–2), 98–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2011.07.004
Huisman, J., & Smits, J. (2009). Effects of Household- and District-Level Factors on Primary School Enrollment in 30 Developing Countries. World Development, 37(1), 179–193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.01.007
Jeremy Atack, R. A. M., & Elisabeth Perlman. (2012). The Impact of Railroads on School Enrollment in Nineteenth Century America. Working Paper.
Osgood, D. W., & Chambers, J. M. (2000). Social Disorganization Outside the Metropolis: An Analysis of Rural Youth Violence*. Criminology, 38(1), 81–116. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2000.tb00884.x
Quintero, L., Leandro, O., & Hincapié Vélez, D. (2016). A study of regional gaps in education quality in Colombia: 2000-2012. Ensayos sobre POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, 34(SPE79), 3–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.espe.2016.01.001
Reardon, T. (1997). Using evidence of household income diversification to inform study of the rural nonfarm labor market in Africa. World Development, 25(5), 735–747. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(96)00137-4
Reardon, T., Berdegué, J., & Escobar, G. (2001). Rural Nonfarm Employment and Incomes in Latin America: Overview and Policy Implications. World Development, 29(3), 395–409. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(00)00112-1
Ribot, J. C., & Peluso, N. L. (2003). A Theory of Access*. Rural Sociology, 68(2), 153–181. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1549-0831.2003.tb00133.x
Shilpa Aggarwal. (2013). Do Rural Roads Create Pathways out of Poverty? Evidence from India. Working Paper.
Spencer, G. A., & Bryant, S. A. (2000). Dating violence: a comparison of rural, suburban, and urban teens. Journal of Adolescent Health, 27(5), 302–305. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1054-139X(00)00125-7
Vasconcellos, E. A. (1997). Rural transport and access to education in developing countries: policy issues. Journal of Transport Geography, 5(2), 127–136. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-6923(96)00075-0
Villar, L., & Ramírez, J. M. (2014). Infraestructura regional y pobreza rural. Recuperado a partir de http://www.repository.fedesarrollo.org.co/handle/11445/234