Un modelo matemático para sistemas de jubilación del seguro social con sistemas dinámicos

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Gilberto González Parra
Abraham J Arenas https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3106-1271

Keywords

modelo de jubilación, modelización matemática, seguridad social, sistema dinámico, matemáticas aplicadas

Resumen

Este artículo propone una primera aproximación matemática basada en los sistemas dinámicos para estudiar el efecto del aumento de la edad de jubilación de la Seguridad Social de los trabajadores y la dinámica de las poblaciones de jubilados. El modelo propuesto no incluye diversas variables económicas como el crecimiento salarial, los ingresos y la productividad con el fin de obtener un primer enfoque poco complejo. Las simulaciones numéricas del modelo se utilizan para investigar la dinámica de la fuerza de trabajo utilizando diferentes escenarios demográficos. El análisis de este tipo de modelos con simulaciones numéricas puede ayudar a los planificadores económicos de los gobiernos a generar las estrategias óptimas para mantener el sistema de pensiones y obtener pronósticos sobre las poblaciones de pensionistas y trabajadores.

MSC:  97M10, 97M40.

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